
Two Cardinals Who Nearly Became Pope Instead of Leo XIV – One Has a Surprising Hobby
In a development that has surprised many across the globe, the Catholic Church has a new pontiff: Pope Leo XIV. His election followed a dramatic and closely watched conclave that concluded on May 8, 2025. This decision came after the death of Pope Francis on April 21 at the age of 88, ending a transformative papacy and opening a new chapter for the Church.
What made this conclave particularly remarkable was the emergence of a pope who was not among the widely expected frontrunners. Two cardinals—one a renowned Vatican diplomat and the other known for his engaging public presence and singing talents—were initially considered most likely to ascend to the papacy. However, the cardinal electors ultimately chose Cardinal Robert Prevost, an American-born bishop with deep missionary roots and a moderate theological stance, to lead the global Church.
The Conclave Process: Ritual, Tradition, and Discretion
The election of a new pope follows an ancient and highly structured process. According to Vatican law, once the papal seat becomes vacant, the conclave must begin at least 15 days later but no more than 20, unless extraordinary circumstances call for a delay or early start. This allows time for all cardinal electors—those under the age of 80—to travel to Rome and prepare spiritually for the vote.
In this instance, the College of Cardinals commenced the conclave 17 days after Pope Francis’s passing. The gathering took place within the Sistine Chapel, where only cardinal electors were allowed entry. The elaborate ritual began with the chanting of “Veni Creator Spiritus,” invoking the guidance of the Holy Spirit.
Each cardinal elector took an oath of secrecy and fidelity before casting ballots marked with the Latin phrase Eligo in Summum Pontificem (“I elect as Supreme Pontiff”). Voting rounds were held twice each morning and afternoon, up to four per day. Ballots were burned after each vote—black smoke signaling no decision, white indicating that a pope had been elected.
If no candidate reaches the required two-thirds majority (in this case, 89 out of 133 votes) after 21 ballots, the process narrows to the two leading contenders, who are then ineligible to vote for themselves in subsequent rounds. This regulation ensures momentum toward a final choice without compromising the sacred nature of the decision.
A Surprise Victory: Who Is Pope Leo XIV?
Cardinal Robert Francis Prevost, now Pope Leo XIV, was not a name dominating headlines prior to the conclave. Born in the United States, he has extensive pastoral experience abroad, especially in Peru, and previously served as the head of the Augustinian order. Before his election, he held a key role in the Vatican's Dicastery for Bishops, overseeing global episcopal appointments under Pope Francis.
Prevost’s elevation represents a significant milestone for the American Church, which has long held influence through its sheer size and wealth but faced hesitation regarding the prospect of an American pope due to geopolitical tensions. Despite that, the cardinals signaled confidence in his blend of diplomacy, humility, and theological moderation.
His first words as pope—“Peace be with all of you!”—echoed through St. Peter’s Square, met with awe and anticipation. The moment was formally introduced by Cardinal Protodeacon Dominique Mamberti, who declared his election to a packed square and a watching world.
Public Reaction: Mixed Sentiment and Global Curiosity
Reactions to Pope Leo XIV's election ranged from jubilant to skeptical. On social media, American Catholics expressed pride, while others voiced concerns about potential U.S. influence on Vatican priorities. “Rigged” was one blunt comment; another lamented, “Why not a Black or Asian pope?” Others struck a more hopeful tone, with one user noting, “God works in mysterious ways 🇺🇸.”
Some conservative voices expressed unease, concerned about whether the new pope would uphold Church tradition or lean too far toward modernist interpretations. “I thought the Church feared a liberal American pope,” one user remarked, “Maybe those days are over.”
Who Were the Leading Contenders?
Cardinal Pietro Parolin (Italy, 70)
A veteran diplomat and Vatican Secretary of State since 2013, Parolin was considered the “safe choice” for many. He has played critical roles in negotiations with China, Cuba, and Venezuela and has managed internal crises discreetly. While respected for his pragmatism and composure, critics viewed him as too cautious and closely tied to Vatican bureaucracy.
His odds were strongest on platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi, where bettors gave him a roughly one-in-three chance. His detractors, particularly from conservative circles, raised concerns over his involvement in the secret China-Vatican bishop appointment agreement and financial mismanagement issues.
Cardinal Luis Antonio Tagle (Philippines, 67)
Affectionately known as “Chito,” Tagle is beloved in his home country and among progressive Catholics worldwide. A former archbishop of Manila, he is known for his emotional homilies, public singing, and down-to-earth approach. Videos of him joyfully singing John Lennon's “Imagine” stirred both admiration and controversy, particularly due to the song’s secular themes.
While some saw his charisma and pastoral warmth as ideal qualities for a pope, others criticized him for lacking theological clarity and for not taking strong public stances on political crises in the Philippines. Rumors of a proxy gambling scandal also damaged his image in the weeks leading up to the conclave.
Other Contenders and Longshots
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Peter Turkson (Ghana, 76): Known for his outspokenness on climate justice and economic equity. Would have been the first Black pope in modern history.
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Péter Erdő (Hungary, 72): A staunch conservative, critical of Pope Francis’s progressive stances.
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Matteo Zuppi (Italy, 69): A peace negotiator and liberal-leaning cardinal active in Ukraine diplomacy.
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José Tolentino Mendonça (Portugal, 59): A theologian aligned with progressive Catholic thought, but considered too young.
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Mario Grech (Malta, 68): Known for evolving from a traditionalist to a moderate voice.
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Pierbattista Pizzaballa (Italy, 60): The Latin Patriarch of Jerusalem, praised for moral courage in the Middle East.
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Robert Sarah (Guinea, 79): An ultraconservative figurehead with a strong following among traditionalists.
What Lies Ahead for Pope Leo XIV
The newly elected pope now faces the immense challenge of uniting a divided Church, addressing pressing global issues, and determining whether he will continue Francis’s reformist agenda or forge a new path. He inherits a complex legacy that spans sexual abuse reforms, climate advocacy, interfaith outreach, and calls for synodality.
Whether Pope Leo XIV proves to be a transitional leader or a transformative figure remains to be seen. His background suggests he values pastoral care, spiritual discernment, and global inclusivity—qualities that may shape his approach to the papacy in the years ahead.
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