Facts 31/05/2025 15:34

Scientists Warn Italy’s Phlegraean Fields Supervolcano Is Stirring, Raising Global Alarm

Deep beneath the picturesque landscapes of southern Italy, a silent giant is showing signs of unrest. The Phlegraean Fields, or Campi Flegrei, a supervolcano located just west of Naples, has recently drawn the attention of scientists worldwide. Subtle seismic activity, ground deformation, and increased gas emissions suggest that this ancient volcano may be waking from centuries of slumber. While a catastrophic eruption is not considered imminent, the signs are clear: Campi Flegrei is stirring, and the potential consequences could reach far beyond Italy’s borders.

The Phlegraean Fields form a massive volcanic caldera, stretching over 13 kilometers in diameter. Unlike the iconic cone-shaped Mount Vesuvius nearby, Campi Flegrei is largely hidden beneath the surface, with its vast network of fumaroles, hot springs, and uplifted land revealing its true nature. The last eruption occurred in 1538, creating the Monte Nuovo hill. Though relatively minor, it marked the end of a long dormancy, and ever since, scientists have kept a watchful eye on the area.

Recent studies by the Italian National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology (INGV) have indicated increasing seismic activity and significant ground uplift in the region. Since the early 2000s, the town of Pozzuoli, built directly atop the caldera, has risen by more than 90 centimeters. Small earthquakes have also become more frequent, with swarms occurring regularly—an indication that magma or hydrothermal fluids may be moving beneath the surface.

What alarms scientists most is not just the current activity, but the pattern it suggests. A 2023 study published in the journal Communications Earth & Environment concluded that the crust under Campi Flegrei has become weaker over time due to repeated stress from past unrest episodes. This weakening means that the volcano could now erupt with less pressure buildup than before. In other words, it might take less force to trigger a dangerous eruption.

The global implications of such an event are serious. As a supervolcano, Campi Flegrei has the potential to affect global climate, aviation, and food production. A large-scale eruption could spew massive amounts of ash into the atmosphere, blocking sunlight and lowering global temperatures in a phenomenon known as a "volcanic winter." This could disrupt agriculture and supply chains across Europe and beyond.

Moreover, the densely populated region surrounding Campi Flegrei—including Naples, home to nearly a million people—would face immediate and devastating impacts. Emergency planning is already underway, with Italian authorities reviewing evacuation strategies and public safety protocols. However, experts caution that predicting the exact timing and scale of volcanic eruptions remains notoriously difficult.

Despite the uncertainty, scientists emphasize that the current activity does not mean an eruption is guaranteed. Instead, it’s a call for vigilance and preparation. Technological advances in volcanology, including satellite monitoring and improved seismic networks, now offer better tools to detect early warning signs. Public education and government readiness are equally crucial.

The Phlegraean Fields are a stark reminder that Earth’s natural systems operate on timescales far beyond human lifespans. For centuries, the ground beneath southern Italy has shifted and breathed with geologic life, often unnoticed. But as the data mounts and the ground rises, one thing is certain: the world must pay attention.

In the face of such immense natural power, preparation, not panic, is key. The message from scientists is clear—Campi Flegrei is stirring, and it’s time to take notice.

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